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Research

Dissertation

Security Cooperation on Migration in the Age of Right-Wing Politics

Bilateral security cooperation on migration between Western democracies and illiberal states continues unabated by international, democratic, or humanitarian norms. Such agreements, which I denote as Cooperation Arrangements on Migration (CAMs), provide funding, training, military resources, personnel, and information to illiberal partners. This bilateral cooperation is domestically and internationally costly as it could strengthen autocratic regimes, create coercive codependencies between states, and place migrant lives at risk. At the same time, the rise of right-wing populist parties permeates legislatures and drive mainstream governments to adapt. These two phenomenon drive the main question of this project: under what conditions do Western democracies enter into security cooperation arrangements on migration with non-democratic states? I contend right-wing populist (RWP) parties drive illiberal cooperation on migration as attention is taken away from normative concerns to tangible outcomes for mainstream governments in Western democracies. Rise in RWP party presence in the legislature drive mainstream governments to coopt CAMs from RWP challengers to remain in power and fracture the opposition. Although a global phenomenon, I center my initial analysis on 11 frontier states of European Union. I employ a multimethod research approach consisting of a novel data collection of CAMs between Western democratic frontier states and their regional partners from 1990-2023, alongside case studies illustrating my theory. This project seeks to provide a novel data source for rigorous research and to expand our understanding of cooptation strategies for contentious foreign policy development under a polarized political landscape.

Working Papers

"How Right-Wing Parties Drive Illiberal Cooperation on Migration"
Rojas Venzor, Jesus E.

Works in Progress

"Understanding Bilateral Security Cooperation on Migration" 
"The Political Logic and Consequences of Tripartite Repatriation Agreements in the Global South, Evidence from 1983–2025" 
"Foreign Aid as Border Policy: How the Political Right Deals with Migration" 
“Dangerous Conditions: Right-Wing Votes and Domestic Terrorism Using Localized Data”
with Wendy Wagner

Public Facing

"More Data and More Perspectives Are Still Needed"

Jesus Rojas Venzor

New Questions and Insights from the Launch of IGCC’s Climate-Democracy Incubator. IGCC Blog, University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, 2025.

 
"There’s No Migrant Surge at the U.S. Southern Border. Here’s the Data"
Tom K. Wong, Gabriel de Roche, and Jesus Rojas Venzor.
The Washington Post, March 23, 2021.
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